The Vex Mythoclast is an incredibly popular Exotic Weapon in Destiny ii right at present. It is an Free energy Fusion Rifle with an "optimal" time-to-kill speed said to exist effectually .77 seconds, faster than other Destiny 2 weapons - including popular hand cannons like Thorn. In that location's only one problem, though: there is only one style to earn the Vex Mythoclast, which is by running a certain Vault of Glass raid encounter and destroying the boss Atheon until it drops. Destiny 2 players believe they've solved the odds of this drop, and it'south safe to say odds aren't in players' favor.

In an incredible example of "Doing the Math," Redditor nutty-max wrote up an extended analysis breaking down what he believes to be the Vex Mythoclast's driblet rate. He solved this using information pulled from nearly x,000 Destiny 2 players' inventories, which were available to peruse via Bungie's API. Using this data, nutty-max came to the conclusion that a role player's first run of Vault of Drinking glass resulted in just a 1% drop rate for the Vex Mythoclast, but that's non the entire story.

Further analysis led nutty-max to believe that, while the initial run of Vault of Glass may have a driblet charge per unit of only 1%, at that place appears to be a "bad luck" organization in place to increase players' drop rates over fourth dimension. If the actor returns to Vault of Drinking glass a calendar week later, their odds of acquiring the Vex Mythoclast from Atheon volition increase by .05%. As such, every week volition increase the odds by half of a percent.

While at first this may seem like an overly punishing grind, nutty-max does players a favor and shows how this system can exist better than, say, a apartment five% drop rate for Vex Mythoclast. It'due south true that the 5% driblet rate will exist faster overall for the first 6,000 players who find the gun across 20 runs, but the next 4,000 may prefer the bad luck system. That'southward because with the apartment 5%, information technology's possible to run 80+ Vault of Glass raids and however not have the gun, while the 1% + .05% per week system will guarantee everyone has their gun inside 45 weeks.

Apparently, to most Destiny 2 players, either option sounds like a nightmare. The possibility of doing Atheon runs 45 times versus 80 times is not an attractive possibility either way. Still, information technology's somewhat kind of Bungie to cull the option that prevents players from getting extremely bad luck. Perhaps nutty-max's math will persuade some Destiny 2 players to settle for their Thorn, rather than farming a Vex Mythoclast, in the end.

Destiny 2 is bachelor now on PC, PS4, PS5, Stadia, Xbox One, and Xbox Series X/S.

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